Research news - Met Office
Met Office research news highlights updates to modelling, innovative research activities, and studies that enhance our understanding of global and UK weather impacts.
www.metoffice.gov.ukEl Niño onset likely this summer, 80% probability reported by the WMO, hinting at warmer global temperatures and increased severe weather risk. Across Europe and the UK experience a buckling jet stream driving cold spells south, following a May heat event, as record heat and moisture boost storm intensity. These patterns heighten drought risk in parts of South Asia and stress energy grids and agriculture globally into late 2026. Ongoing monitoring of global weather patterns remains crucial for planning across sectors.